Nate Silver gives reason for hope in the Democratic lead on the generic House ballot.
Last year, Republicans won the popular vote for the U.S. House — essentially what the generic ballot is trying to measure — by 7 percentage points. So a poll showing Democrats 7 points ahead instead is a pretty significant swing.Of course it's waaay too early to count on, but we need hope to gird up for the arduous campaign ahead. Imagine the difference:
- President Perry, Vice President Bachmann, Senate Majority Leader DeMint, House Speaker Cantor
- President Obama, VP Biden, Senate Majority Leader Elizabeth Warren, House Speaker Pelosi
Of course, this is total fantasy. No freshman Senator is ever going to be elected Majority Leader.
But I have to say that meeting Warren yesterday has me daring again to dream.