Saturday, January 19, 2008

GOP contender - Romney

Mitt Romney is a classic wealthy. How dare you mere reporter point out my bullshit! "Listen to my words." Romney believes in his own divine right even if he has to wear special underwear. Mitt has plenty of money, which helps him cover the fact that he has trouble with message discipline (though still much better than Huckabee's). Since he's had control of the business agenda his whole career, he's convinced that he can say the most ridiculous things without the people he hasn't laid off calling him on it.

I once worked for a company whose CEO sent a voicemail to the whole company saying that he would rather choke to death on his own vomit than sell to a certain software bottom-feeder. Three months later, he did sell out to that exact company. Oh, he had hedged that he would almost prefer asphyxia. Really, aspiration drove him, either way. Jimi Hendrix, no thank you. Walk away with $290 million, giddy-up!

Mitt would never say anything as plebeian as that. Jeepers Crow, no. But situational lying is a necessary skill in the rarefied heights of companies such as Bain that profit by deal-making instead of making products. "We really want to make this deal, but there are a couple of problems." Yeah, and one of those problems is we're really buying your competition, but we want our competition to pay a premium price for you.

Mitt won't mention bodily fluids, no, but he is more than happy to make obviously stupid, pandering, and anti-Constitutional appeals to the bullies. "Double Guantánamo," for example. The bullies aren't very smart, so they'll buy it.

So here we are. The heretic Mormon with no common touch and the glaring willingness to transparently lie and bullshit is the only contender who hasn't queered the deal with the most important three Republican constituencies. Even though he has a long history of previous lies and bullshit to appease us in Massachusetts ("I'm prochoice", "I'm moderate", "I'm for universal health coverage"), he has tried to atone for those, and the fundies will have nowhere else to go, other than to stay home, so most of them will rationalize the gaping doctrinal chasm.

The only barrier that lies between Romney and the nomination is the Republican Party's appetite for more bullshit. Since Duhbya still pulls 30% in the polls, and those are the people who will vote in Republican primaries, I think they're licking their chops. It's Romney's to lose.

Wealthies

Oh, the wealthies! For them, the business of America is ... enriching them. They talk like free marketeers, but they really want to restore feudalism, this time with regular bathing (for us - cold water's fine) and central heating (for them). They can't see why any further governing charters were needed after the Magna Carta. The goddamned common people have so perverted that noble agreement between the king and the lords that they think they're equal to the peerage. The wealthies cherish places like South Korea, where a man can be convicted of crimes but set free because his company is too important to the economy!

The wealthies say, "Give us your tired, your poor, ... and we'll work 'em until arthritis slows 'em down, and then we'll deport 'em back to Chiapas." They couldn't give a shit about race; it's class that matters to them. If you're management, that is, if you know how to get lots of work out of others, welcome to the country club! If you're labor, they'll outsource your lippy ass to Elbonia. Commonweal? That's their idea of oxymoron.

There's one aspect of racism that has always benefited the wealthies. When working class whites hate their black class counterparts, the wealthies can pay them less. Take a look south if you need evidence. Right-to-work is only partly about being a pissant non-joiner; it's also about not having to join anything that has darkies in it.

As with immigration and partly with race, most of the Republican platform doesn't cut any ice with the wealthies. They aren't going to teach creationism to their kids, but teaching it to yours gives them another competitive advantage in the next generation. They would love tuition vouchers to reduce their costs at elite prep schools, so they have common cause with the fundies who want a subsidy for their segregation and fundi-Christian academies, but their reasons aren't the same.

Likewise, their reasons for a bullying foreign policy only overlap with the bullies' reasons. The bullies love a good stand-up fight - as long as they are never out-gunned - but the wealthies love a good profit. Halliburton is the canonical example, but there are a thousand others. As long as they can keep us scared enough to fund rilly, rilly big shews of force, the wealthies don't actually need a war, but they miss the excitement of the Cold War terribly.

The nexus of the bully-wealthy connection and alliance is Blackwater. It doesn't hurt that Erik Prince is a fundie, too. (Why doesn't he run for President? Oh. My. God. Please, please, keep that thought a secret.)

Bullies

Who are the bullies? They're the guys who are the source of the gender gap. They prefer to solve every problem with force. Kid won't say "yessir", smack him around. Woman wants a divorce, submit to this (good fundie cross-over). Female orgasm? Illegal in Alabama unless provided by a man. Addict steals; ten years behind bars with no rehab. Death penalty! Death penalty! Death penalty! Murder/death/kill. The law? The cops are the law, and all the stuff that happens in court is doo process.

Oh, and turn the Middle East into a glass parking lot. Solve all our problems. Any ragheads left? Torture 'em.

Prominent bullies: Rush Limbaugh, John Bolton, Ann Coulter, Bill O'Reilly, and Duhbya. True to form, physical courage is not required to be a bully, just power. Darth is a bullying wealthy who also exploits the bullies. He'd be the perfect nominee except that he's more despised than even Duhbya.

The great intellecutal, untellicable, unintelligle, smart-ass neocons think they're bullies, but they're really just useful pussies. They have advanced degrees and academic pedigrees - how tough could they really be? Paul Wolfowitz gives himself twirlies without being held upside down in the locker room toilet.

GOP constituencies

Laughing the pretenders out of town leaves three guys who might just possibly win the Republican nomination, and they're a scary trio. One is an open theocrat and Confederate sympathizer. One will clearly and obviously say anything in the whole damn world to win - no, scratch that, it's worse, he'll say everything at one time or another if that will save the best for numero uno. The third is already 72 years old, though half the fossils in the media (think David Broder) would volunteer tonight to have his baby if only they had wombs, and he has deeply offended all the key Republican constituencies.

There are three constituencies that matter in the modern (ouch, oxymoron) Republican Party:

  • fundies - a 2000-year-old human-written book is never wrong
  • bullies - my country, right or wrong, I'll kick your ass
  • wealthies - pro-business means never having to say you're sorry
Sure, there are gun nuts, xenophobes, and racists, too, spread liberally (ouch again) through the first two categories and even leaking into the third (remember Henry Ford?).

The fundies and the bullies do the work and provide the votes, but the wealthies, true to form, own the party and run the show. The fundies are pretty pissed, uh, are waxing wroth over this. The Bill Clinton penis hunt distracted them for a while, but now again they want to be darn sure that they get their turn before the apocalypse. Some of the loonier fundies need their turn to help bring the apocalypse. As soon as possible. No shit!

Scoundrels

Used to be that patriotism had monopolized the last refuge of a scoundrel. The false bravado of Duhbya and Darth shows there are still plenty of scoundrels who call themselves patriots.

But there's a new competitor - well, not that new - Christianity. When I was a kid, it was mainly the preachers' kids who were scoundrels. Or maybe I was just naive then and didn't notice all the greedy businessmen wrapping their sin up in scripture and calling it piety, when it's really just marketing.

By now, though, there's a whole parallel economy run by people who have forgotten that Jesus's founding ministry was among the very poor and downtrodden. He wasn't trying to get scrolls on long haul trucks or to put his stamp on government. He was trying to help people in need.

Originally a comment on TennViews.

Random thought

Sure, this is hopelessly retrospective - and egotistical - but if Bill Kristol can get a gig with the New York Times, despite all the nasty things he has said about the press in general and the NYT in particular, when can I expect the Wall Street Journal or Fox News to hire me? OK, or someone like me with a longer history of celebrity?

Friday, January 18, 2008

GOP standings to date - the pretenders


Eliminate all the options that are impossible and whatever is left, however unlikely, will happen.

Starting with the pretenders:

  • Duncan Hunter, who he? He has a delegate because he is a delegate. Shift a few bellwether brain cells, and he could be tied with Rudy Giuliani
  • Rudi, ah, Rudi, it's not that we hardly knew ye. It's just that you are too obviously a mean, authoritarian SOB. And to the Republican base, those are your good qualities. I never thought a repeat cross-dresser could win in the Republican Party; his poll numbers were a media creation doomed to die embarrassingly. Except that nothing embarrasses Rudi, not even all that icky personal stuff.
  • Fred Thompson was the guy you date, not the guy you marry. Seriously, does that show how gag-a-maggot the Republican Party is, or what? Fred jumped the shark (I am so glad I finally learned what that means) before he even jumped into the race. He wanted the Presidency as a retirement gift, and even the Grand Old Party is not that senescent.
Ron Paul needs a category all to himself. He has managed to attract all the scruffy Objectivists who think they're the second coming of John Galt, whoever he was (the man ain't got no culture), and evidently some of them know how to charge a credit card on the Internet. He's right about Iraq for all the wrong isolationist reasons, and the rest of his platform would have been neandercon in the 19th century, which is where he evidently found a wormhole from which to emerge into contemporary Texas daylight. Good thing, too - in any other state except maybe Louisiana, more people would laugh at him than vote for him. OK, maybe Idaho, too.

More to come...

Can I get a head-line?

CNN's headline, "Army: Some troops suffer brain injuries and don't know it" would be funny if it were about, say, professional wrestlers or beer-can-forehead-smashing Hell's Angels.

How about "Army: Undiagnosed brain injuries common"? Are those words too big?

Thursday, January 17, 2008

Full of Mitt

So, Mitt Romney makes a big deal that "lobbyists aren't running his campaign," but, when challenged by a reporter who names a particular lobbyist who's a senior advisor to Mitt, he gets bent out of shape and repeats his narrow parsing formula over and over again.

Let's get this out in the open: No lobbyist manages campaigns. They're disjoint sets.

Mitt changes his positions with the political wind and his need to tack into it. Mitt claims to be places he wasn't with civil rights pioneers he never met. Mitt makes substance-free statements intended to be misinterpreted. There's nothing that comes out of his mouth you can trust.

It's all bullshit. He's playing to the Republican base.

Harry Reid, slow learner

Bipartisanship is a chimera of tasty bullshit. You'd think that Harry would have found a sweeter taste by now.

The Bushists will demagogue any issue, but they are particularly scurrilous when they think they can cut taxes for the very wealthy.

Nice guy neo-Confederate

Mike Huckabee:

I know what would happen if somebody comes to my state in Arkansas and tells us what to do, it doesn't matter what it is, tell us how to run our schools, tell us how to raise our kids, tell us what to do with our flag — you want to come tell us what to do with the flag, we'd tell them what to do with the pole.
These aren't even code words. These are out and out appeals to bigotry. Just in case we weren't listening, he said them twice in different locales.

By the way, we settled this one 140 years ago when we disposed of the treason symbolized by the Confederate battle flag, and we settled it again 40 years ago, when that so-called heritage symbol suddenly became important again in another attempt to resist and deny racial justice.

For those of you keeping score at home, this is why Republicans don't get black votes.

Crime and entertainment cheek by jowl

Nothing else to report on. This is the important stuff anyway.

Yeah, true confessions, I clicked on "Zoo Tiger Attack".

Minutes to midnight

Is anyone surprised that the White House overwrote its email backups? Wake up Rip Van Winkle.

Let's add it up:

  • They revealed this at the last possible moment...
  • only when directly ordered to...
  • despite missing emails being an issue in several investigations.
  • They studied absent emails in secret...
  • but won't release the study they're being sued to release...
  • because, they claim, they (conveniently) think it's not reliable.
From the Washington Post's (better) coverage:
Rep. Henry A. Waxman (D-Calif.) told the National Archives in a letter last month that White House officials had told his investigators they found "numerous days with few or no emails for certain White House components" during a 2005 review of White House computer servers.

"More than two years after this problem was first discovered by White House staff," Waxman said, "the White House still has not identified the cause of the problem, determined the volume of emails lost, or developed a plan for restoring those emails that were lost."

In a related controversy, House investigators have determined that hundreds of thousands of e-mails from former presidential adviser Karl Rove and other White House aides are missing because they were sent using external accounts set up by the Republican National Committee.
The White House is run by scofflaws.

Ain't I sweet? I could have called the Bushists a criminal conspiracy...

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Pseudo-legal theft

So, the DEA seizes a boat you own part of, doesn't notify you, doesn't prove it was used as alleged, auctions it off very cheap, and when you win the case is ordered to reimburse you 1% of its value.

Civil forfeiture, as used in drug cases such as this, is an open invitation and strong incentive for theft under color of authority. The Supreme Court has ruled that it doesn't violate the Constitution, despite the words that conclude the Fifth Amendment:

[N]or shall private property be taken for public use, without just compensation.
Despite having only taken a philosophy of law course and no actual law courses, I know how to read, and I see the injustice anyway.

See, I'll defend the rich when they're wronged, too.

Bushist Supreme Court

The Supreme Court ruled 5-3 that investors who allege they were defrauded (and have a good case) cannot recover damages from corporations that knowingly aided and abetted the corporation committing the alleged fraud. Guess who was in the majority. Yup, three of the same five who ruled for Duhbya in Bush v. Gore and the replacements for the fourth and fifth, the Bushist heart of the Court.

This is a perfect illustration of how far the "center" has moved to the right. The minority opinion argues that the majority relied on a precedent where the aid to the fraud was not knowing in order to extend what I would call a privilege of fraud to companies who do know exactly what they're doing.

In Bush-world, corporate officers who do things that they know are sub rosa are still blameless, and injured investors can't recover from them.

Update: Corrected for Sandra Day O'Connor's departure and William Rehnquist's death.

Anger management

I showed a friend this blog, and he gently characterized it as "raw".

What does he mean, I wondered? Sure, I show my anger from time to time, but I also show humor and analysis and even some good news.

Uh, true, but you really have to look hard for items where those attributes dominate.

Satire is hard, takes time and thought and good writing, but it's more effective than pure outrage. Heaven knows our times demand outrage, but I've got to keep a little perspective, too.

Who knows, this might last a week.

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

A theory collapses

Since I'm a blogger, not an elite journalist like Joe Klein, I have to admit my errors. It looks as though my diagnosis of the Minneapolis bridge collapse was full of crap, which is not really a surprise, especially given the title I put on the entry.

On the subject of the media, though, I was still spot on.

Lub-dub

It took since 2006 for Merck and Schering-Plough to the get data all the way to even! Ouch.

Are they going to refund all the prescription costs for 2007? Not on your life (literally).

UFOs bypass Central Park! Again!

Lots of weird shit happens in Texas - their political exports especially - so UFOs over central Texas ought not to be too much of a surprise. But look out, now everyone who sees something they don't understand will be on the phone to CNN. Oooh, it's the end times; the sky is falling!

Stephenville is only an hour and a half from Crawford. That's something weird that I'd like to see explained.

Monday, January 14, 2008

Why not a chickenheart?


Truth be told, I find the regrowth of rat hearts exciting. I suppose I should get out more.

It's important in the world of 21st century hype, to understand what the scientists (Harald Ott and Doris Taylor) didn't do. They didn't grow a new heart in a petri dish. They started with living heart, killed it by stripping out the cells, and regrew functioning cells using the protein matrix (of connective tissue) as a structural guide.

In a way, regrowth would be better, even though it's not as impressive as culturing a new heart. I know I'd much rather have a treatment that repairs my heart than one that replaces it via open heart surgery. But the scientists are working on culturing because of problems with in situ regrowth.

What I'm really looking for is in situ cartilage regrowth, especially in my knees.

Jonah Goldberg newspeaks

As seen in Salon (h/t John Scalzi), here are some of the assertions of the type that have gotten Jonah Goldberg the nickname the Doughy Pantload:

  • fascism = socialism
  • nationalism = communitarianism
  • national socialist = socialist
  • totalitarian = organic
  • totalitarian = holistic
  • subordination = inclusion
  • It Takes a Village = state parenting
  • real militarism = metaphorical efforts against crime, poverty, drugs
  • regimentation = consensus
  • socialism = state-run economics, regardless of who benefits
  • nationalized = socialized (Eisenhower must have socialized the National Guard!)
  • marxist = fascist (!?)
  • liberal = free market
  • classless = socialist (So America is - or thinks it is - socialist?)
  • populist = liberal (Tell that to George Wallace.)
Goldberg couldn't make a distinction between his ass and a hole in the ground. Hey, they're topologically similar; they must be the same thing.

Then there's this quote:
[T]he only reason [Mussolini] got dubbed a fascist and therefore a right-winger is because he supported World War I.
See Scalzi for the definitive smack-down of this ahistorical claptrap. Goldberg is essentially a fascism denier. This is his logic: Those Indians tried to sully our good name by having the nerve to catch smallpox from the blankets we Europeans gave them for that express purpose. Those Guantánamo terrorists are continuing their asymmetrical warfare against all right-thinking Murkins by trying to commit suicide. That Mussolini may have founded fascism and called it a right-wing movement, but he was really just an old lefty.

There is no worthwhile way to engage this sort of incoherent "argument" other than ridicule. Goldberg's rhetoric can't even fig leaf his obvious intent to propagandize. It's intellectually bankrupt in all aspects, a logorrhea-covered exercise in self-service colonoscopy.

Goldberg is using words that are in the dictionary, but he's making up their meanings as he goes along. Even worse, at whim or necessity, he can switch meanings within the confines of a single paragraph.

He says he's not making the argumentum ad hitlerum, but in nearly every paragraph that's exactly what he's doing. X breathed and was bad. Y breathes. Therefore, Y is bad. He is breathtakingly, uneducably, irredeemably stupid. With a big, albeit uncomprehended, vocabulary.

The completeness of his turgid, ridiculous unclarity is visible here to those of us who aren't wearing his bullshit-colored glasses:
You don't have conservative groups talking about what kind of condoms you should use or what positions you can be in.
Earth to Jonah! Talked to the Christian right lately? Oral o.k.? Anal? Gay? How's the Pope's tolerance of any use of condoms coming along? Masturbation? Fantasy?

In the end, Goldberg's words about Mussolini apply better to himself:
He was sort of a buffoon in that sense; he was constantly changing his definitions of fascism and talking out of one side of the mouth, then out of the other side of his mouth, largely because of the sort of pragmatic idea he had about politics.
I haven't read his book, and I won't. His own words in this interview irrefutably expose him as an ass, unworthy of even an hour wasted reading his prose.

What he wants to say - but which wouldn't get for him all this undeserved attention - is that liberals are not like him. Thanks be to god! Instead of defending that clear and unarguable thesis, he muddles all the meanings he touches.

Why newspapers are dying

There are many reasons for the slow wasting away of newspapers. One that has been missed is this: Newspapers were accustomed to being the only game in town, and the market for current events has become much more segmented than their traditional model.

Oh, sure, TV came along in the 1950s and brought competition. However, at the time, TV took its news values from print. It covered stories in something approaching depth, and it had pictures to boot. Still, there were only three networks, and they were broadcasting.

Even before cable, though, entertainment values oozed in. Remember weather girls? Now all news readers have to be beautiful. No more dour serious journalists. Sports segments got longer and longer. Eventually, the hard news pieces got softer to keep up, and network executives found that they could capture a lot more eyeballs with puppies and missing persons than with the arcana of the federal budget.

Still, newspapers didn't adjust their audience expectations. True, virtually all the evening papers closed, the need for them erased by the nightly news. But the big three were broadcasting to everyone, so newspapers continued to write for everyone.

The advent of cable TV news further segmented the market. It wasn't, of course, the only force. News magazines spawned celebrity gossip-zines.

Newspapers refused to give up their long lost broad audience, but cable started narrowcasting to niche audiences. Bill O'Reilly owns the delusional, ossified, egotistical gasbag segment, despite lots of competition, but even his audience is not very large. Multiplying him a hundred times (oh, god, please, NOOO!) chips a lot of eyeballs off the front page of the Boston Globe. Chris Matthews takes the blithering sexists with poor impulse control. Jon Stewart takes the kids who grew up with TV and already know it's all bullshit. Keith Olbermann wins people who want to giant slalom between news and punch lines, while Stewart is in a quick slalom.

Newspapers kept trying to be everything to everyone, and no matter how many soft features they add or news you can use they deliver about how to get your Christmas tree out the door without scratching the paint, they're still bleeding readers. They're even bleeding guys like me, and the reason is that they're in a niche market, too, but they haven't dealt with that yet.

Meanwhile, the core audience for newspapers, people like me who want deeper coverage of the news, even when there's no way to get good art, are finding less and less in them to justify the gray ink all over our hands. We want to know what actually happened yesterday. We don't want reporters striving for a scoop to pretend to know what's going to happen tomorrow or next week. We want some seasoned insight about what topics touch what other topics and the benefit of the reporter's contacts, as long as the reporter vets the quotes for bullshit and bluntly puts it in context.

Instead, newspapers are taking their news values from TV, which means they value entertainment more than information. Their medium is just not well-positioned to compete in entertainment (though the web is changing that).

True, the core readers of newspapers are not 100% of adults, not even close. But we're at least a quarter of the population, and we tend to be affluent, aware, and sometimes even influential, just the perfect eyeballs to deliver to advertisers.

And the papers are screwing that up, too, alienating us by trying to hang onto what they've already lost.

Convenience vs. liberty

I hate reading reports such as this. Involuntary commitment or guardianship of any kind should not be done this lightly.

"Unbefriended elders", now there's a short sad phrase for something most people fear desperately as they age. I hope to live long, but I plan to make some younger friends along the way, not only to keep me young but to make sure I'm not bereft and alone.

Is it Monday already?

Please click the panel to see Charles Fincher's cartoon. Please - maybe he'll take The Illustrated Daily Scribble back off hiatus.

Sunday, January 13, 2008

Blind spot

Journalists don't ever take responsibility for anything they choose.

The war is still going on in Iraq, but like Afghanistan before, the American media is not interested in it any more, and they aren't reporting on it at all.

But Tom Foreman still wants to pretend that they're not setting the news agenda. All these blond white girls are going missing! They're setting the news agenda.

Can sports announcers even see?

Idly watching Indy vs. San Diego as I blog. Bob Sanders just hurt his hand, and the replay is completely obvious about it getting wedged between a teammate and the ball-carrier. His hand or wrist could easily be broken. Yet the announcers can't figure it out.

This happens all the time. It's usually worse when they're trying to watch the game instead of the monitor, which is almost always a better view, but this is on a replay.

Look, my eyes aren't that great; I've worn glasses for 35 years. I only played one year of football, and the total moron who coached that team didn't teach me anything about football. These professional announcers, one of whom is Dan Dierdorf, who played in the NFL, should be able to see all kinds of things I don't see. Yet they repeatedly fail to deliver anything but canned background stories and hoary old cliches.

At least they can see that Reggie Wayne scored a touchdown...

"I bet they are challenging that." Ya think?

I really believe that the reason the Patriots are better than everyone else is that Bill Belichick is about 40 IQ points above the average NFL coach. And that still only puts him about 140.

Seems as if Idiocracy is here already.

The impeachment remedy

Impeachment is a political remedy. It has due process trappings and procedural analogies to criminal procedure, but its only authorized punishment is removal from office and disqualification from eligibility for office, and it is specifically exempted from the prohibition against double jeopardy.

Impeachment was intended to be an extraordinary remedy, and that's why the Republicans were wrong to pursue it against Bill Clinton. If lying about blow jobs in Washington were extraordinary, we'd all know that the country was run by lesbians - and they'd be doing other things that the likes of Ken Starr would find unspeakable (but would document and footnote with prurient glee anyway).

The wimpy Washington Democrats have failed to make this distinction, too, or they would be able to distinguish between the Constitutional abuses of the Bushists and the marital abuses of the Clenis. Instead, Nancy and Harry let the conventional post-Democratic Beltway narrative and their own preference for playing it safe to bollix them.

Ironically, the Bushists' transparently bogus Constitutional interpretation of the Presidency constrains them to accept impeachment as political. If the President is immune from the law, as they have repeatedly claimed in a reprise of Nixonian defenses, impeachment is the only remedy between elections for an Executive run amok.

But logic and law don't work on these guys. Need an example? All the Republicans who pursued Clinton on grounds that no impact on government now blithely accept Duhbya and Darth's blanket claims of immunity.

The only goals the Bushist Republicans (practically speaking, all the party's officials) pursue consistently are their own power and tax cuts for the wealthy. When they have those, they don't need logic or law.

Originally a comment on Philosoraptor.

Actual business news

Here is at least one piece of the supposed synergy between Bank of America and Countrywide. I still wonder whether BoA is also keen to hide its own, separate exposure.

Sunday comics - Cheshire candidate

Click image for full cartoon from Beth Cravens.

Sunday comics blogging - balloonacy

Click the image to see full Tom Toles cartoon.

Let's hope we're not taking the Steve Fossett path.

Be sure not to miss the cartoon within the cartoon!

Hunting for statistics

Looking through Obama's web site for his program for the middle class, I found this claim (after clicking out of what for me was the premature video plea to join him):

[O]ur share of twenty-four-year-olds with college degrees now falls somewhere between Bulgaria and Costa Rica.
Really? I found this surprising. Since the GI Bill, the U.S. has democratized college attendance. For decades, we have led the world in percentage of college graduates in every rising age cohort. When did it change? What's his source?

Unlike John Edwards's campaign site, Obama's doesn't have any citations at all. Alas, what I thought were my exceptional Google skills haven't found a satisfactory answer. I did find three items that bear on this:
  • Remarks (pdf - see p. 7) from Austan Goolsbee, a Chicago School of Business economist, that appear to be Obama's source (and make clear that Obama's "somewhere" is needlessly vague)
  • NSF statistics from 2003 about college grads in the workforce, particularly this part of Table 4:


  • A very old (1990) article that incidentally provides stats about the annual cohort of graduates
There's something between the latter two bullets that doesn't make sense. American higher ed is producing roughly a million graduates a year, as stated by the old article and confirmed historically by the NSF table. And that makes me question the data I still haven't found that Goolsbee is alluding to.

The graduation rate of a million per year means that there should be between 5 and 7 million graduates 29 or younger. This assumes that most people graduate before age 30 and that the vast majority of graduates are citizens, but those seem like pretty safe assumptions. Where are the missing grads, then?

It is true that these age cohorts have increased in size without a corresponding college building boom. In percentage terms, of course this matters.

But, unfortunately, to really understand this and its public policy implications, I need more information. Any reporter out there want to ask the Obama campaign or Goolsbee? Nah, didn't think so.

Update: Found the missing grads! The NSF, inexplicably, wasn't looking for them! The survey was designed to look for graduates whose degrees had been granted more than three years before.

I'd still like to see the full international table of degree rates.

Update: Anonymous "goolsbee" provides the goods.

Saturday, January 12, 2008

Blue states and Europe

Paul Krugman makes the case for European economic parity with the U.S.

Furthermore, the American states that are the most similar to Europe in social welfare policies, taxation rates, regulation, and liberal outlook are the most successful states. We have more and better education, higher wages, more valuable real estate (a mixed blessing, true), and more innovation and entrepreneurship.

The market has spoken in political economy, and Massachusetts, Connecticut, New York, Oregon, and Washington, among others, are the best answer. A mixed economy performs better for more people than either a laissez-faire economy or a socialist economy. Deft regulation beats no regulation or heavy-handed regulation.

But I said something really nice about him, too!

Dan Balz of the Washington Post is one of those bullshit Washington political reporters who won't touch anything of substance about politics as long as there's a horse race story to tell. Horseshit, more like it.

The tone and upshot of the story shows that it has one audience, John Edwards. Its whole point is when are you going to triage yourself out of Obama's way?

The story contains all the elements of Beltway bloviation:

  • The airy refusal to acknowledge the press's own role ("Edwards is the forgotten man")
  • The pretense of insight on the part of the reporter (whole damn piece)
  • Rampant use of conventional narrative ("angry populist of Iowa")
  • Ha-ha stereotype ("Southern-fried" - aside: when a Yankee uses Southern-fried, it's an insult; not a serious social problem, but akin to calling Hillary the little woman)
  • Retrospective out-size claims of importance ("everything on the line in Iowa, a state that was a must-win contest for him")
  • Fox-perfected "some say" with not a single quote ("has offended many Democrats")
  • Vacuous authenticity claims ("shift from optimism to anger as the sign of an opportunistic politician" - aside: if you're not angry after 7 years of Bushism, you've probably already had a lobotomy)
One reason newspapers have fallen on such hard times is that we readers are firing their asses, since their product is so insipid and inconsequential. Oh, and self-important, I almost forgot that.

More judicial bullshit

Try to wrap your head around this "logic":

"Criminal conduct is not per se outside the scope of employment," a requirement for bringing a claim under the Alien Tort Statute, said the decision by appeals Judge Karen LeCraft Henderson, an appointee of President George H.W. Bush.

The four men challenged the methods Rumsfeld and the military officers used, but the former detainees don't allege that the defendants "acted as rogue officials or employees who implemented a policy of torture for reasons unrelated to the gathering of intelligence," the court said.

"Therefore, the alleged tortious conduct was incidental to the defendants' legitimate employment duties," the ruling added.

Three Bush-appointed judges say it's o.k. to commit crimes as part of their "legitimate" duties that they couldn't commit if they were rogue officials.

The law in the hands of Bushists really is an ass.

"Democrat Schwarzenegger"

This sentence is too weirdly framed not to draw a comment:

He is facing a repeat of the financial crisis that undid Gray Davis, former governor, the Democrat Schwarzenegger ousted in a turbulent recall election.
The efforts required to butt Democrat up against Schwarzenegger must have required almost as many steroids as Ahnuld shot up in his firm-man-tittied heyday.

At the very least, any decent editor would have insisted upon "... Democrat whom Schwarzenegger ...". And if whom is too priggish about pronoun case, I don't care, use who or that. But, even better, how about this?
He faces a repeat of the fiscal crisis that he used in 2003 to oust former Democratic Gov. Gray Davis in a turbulent recall election.
Somebody once said, "Never attribute to malice what can be adequately explained by stupidity," but this is pretty stupid even for the AP. (And I say that knowing that a good friend, whose name is already in my keyword list, worked for the AP for years without becoming stupid.)

Fourteenth amendment? Never heard of it

The Federal Appeals Court in the Boston district made this breathtaking statement:

The [jury] instructions also erroneously appeared to equate acting based on any perceptions of a person's race or ethnic heritage with illegal discrimination.

Race or ethnic origin of a passenger may, depending on context, be relevant information in the total mix of information raising concerns that transport of a passenger 'might be' inimical to safety.
Congratulations, you've just legalized racial profiling! How'd you like a trip to Disney World?

Section 1 of the Fourteenth Amendment states:
All persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside. No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States; nor shall any State deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws.
This was not the only issue on appeal. Why did the court go this far?

Watering roots in Memphis

In the way of the web, LeftWingCracker found me, and it turns out we've walked some of the same steps in Memphis, Tennessee.

Friday, January 11, 2008

Middle class help, part 2

In pretending to be a reporter (though not pretending to be unbiased), I've described the way John Edwards has outlined the problems facing the middle class and his proposals for helping improve their (our) job prospects. Should I say that this is the last in a series and hope for a Pulitzer? Sure, when the ice cap melts, uh, when the ice cap refreezes, ok, when hell freezes over.

What does JE say about his other goals after good jobs? Goal number 2 is a secure retirement. For this, he proposes:

  1. Portable retirement accounts that supplement Social Security, not the foolish unfunded accounts that Republicans want to use to destroy Social Security.
  2. Support through law and "small amounts of aid" to families whose homes are in danger of foreclosure (but no bailout for the financial speculators). Further re-regulation that learns from all the so-called innovative finance that was designed to enrich the finance companies with no thought for responsible lending. It also learns the fundamental lesson of the crash of 1929 (and this is my gloss on the subject): Financial wizardry is usually intended to move great piles of money from the populace into the pockets of the self-styled wizards.
  3. Re-regulate abusive credit practices. See item 2!
Most professionals already have portable retirement accounts. Duh, they're called 401(k)s. Yes, there are others. JE's proposal democratizes them and even matches funds at the low end of contributions. Can you imagine a society which really saves, invests, and owns assets all the way down to the hard-working people in the low end of the middle class? That's where I want to live.

Predatory lending has been a concern for JE for a while. Even though he voted for the 2000 bankruptcy reform, he was out of Congress for the 2005 abomination and objected to it, at least by 2006.

The rugged Republicans always whine about consumer protections against predatory lending. The debtors agreed to the terms - why shouldn't they be held to them? They're grown-ups, aren't they? Well, yes, and there is a balance to be struck. Flippers who hold seven mortgages and got caught holding real estate? Sorry, you lose.

But why is it that Republicans' claims of principle suddenly become silent when a hedge fund needs to be bailed out? They would claim it's danger to the economy at large that demands their willing intervention in capital markets and that it's merely coincidental that those interventions make billions for their core constituency on Wall St. And, yeah, they also have a bridge to sell you.

The problem is that ma and pa trying to make payments on one of today's complicated mortgage products to keep a roof over their heads just aren't big enough to rise to the Republicans' attention. They don't make political contributions, either.

Ma and pa still matter, not just to their kids, but also to the larger economy. Even if it wasn't right to show many of them some mercy on moral grounds, it would still be right on the grounds of self-interest. We've spent a lot of our children's inheritance already by sucking equity out of our homes, and there's no getting that back. We Jiminy Crickets are going to have a hell of a hangover that only time and hard work will - or should - cure. But letting the coming recession (did you hear it here first?) deepen, because the hard-hearted (and hard-headed) Republicans want to punish some little people, is monumentally stupid. JE may not use that sort of rhetoric, but he's not rushing down imbecile lane either.

Turns out this won't be the last in the series. I went on waaay too long yesterday, so I'm going to leave the other two Edwards priorities, relieving pressure points and universal health care, for other days. And if I have the stamina, I may even get into Obama and Hillary. I know, no threats!

Wingnut insanity

Accuracy in Media is and always has been a misnomer for an insane wingnut pressure group. They aren't interested in accuracy. They are propagandists.

Their December newsletter contains:

  • The Ultimate Vindication of Joe McCarthy (a book review)
  • an attempt to manufacture a scandal about the UN and AIDS relief funding
  • slams at global warming concerns because the UN holds them
  • hysterical claims that a return to the Fairness Doctrine (which isn't going to happen anyway) would silence conservative voices
  • a Christmas and New Years wish
Except for the last, Cliff Kincaid is a loon.

Republicans know they're in trouble

Through no fault of my own, I'm on a pile of right-wing mailing lists (and you know what that pile is made of, right?). The NRSC writes:

Dear Mrs. [redacted],
Already, it's clear how well they know me. If I were a missus, I'd have to be in a gay marriage, and you know what they think about letting sodomites into that sacred institution that Britney is doing so proud. At least they got the redacted part right.
On behalf of the Republican Party, I want you to know that we hear your frustrations and that we know mistakes were made when we controlled Congress.

There has been too much drift from what you expect of your Republican leadership. We need to shrink Washington's power, cut taxes and defend our borders before it is too late.
When a Republican admits error, even in the passive voice, it usually means that someone should be going to jail.
When I saw that your Sustaining Membership ... remains "INACTIVE," I knew at once that you deserve to know you are being heard loud and clear every bit as much as I need your help in putting the past behind us and moving forward.
Ignoring the libelous implication that I have ever given those toadies anything better than a sharp stick in the eye, whew, can you smell the desperation? Smells a hell of a lot better than teen spirit. And who writes crap like "heard ... every bit as much as I need your help"? There is a nugget of ... truth in that though: If they didn't need my $35, they wouldn't be hearing me.
The campaign season is here and sitting on the sidelines today is the same as handing President Hillary Clinton and MoveOn.org a 60-seat "rubber stamp" Senate.
Sure, I'd prefer John Edwards, and I know the GOP wants to scare its lily-livered wingnut followers with the eeevil Hillary and the treee-eeesonous MoveOn (of which I really am a member), but they can't really be worried about a filibuster-proof Senate. Can they? Oh, please, can they? I'll be a good boy.
Please join me ... and [help] me defend 23 Republican seats and defeat at least 2 Democrats in the Senate.
Sure, they're fear-mongering in their base. Fear is what they do. But I am thrilled at the teensy scope of their ambition. Mary Landrieu and Tim Johnson, they're coming for you.

Mostly, though, I enjoy the business reply mail envelope. I can use it to suck at least another half dollar out of their campaign coffers.

Thursday, January 10, 2008

Middle class help

John Edwards has done a pretty good job identifying the problems facing the middle class. But what does he propose to do about them? The mainstream media is all over that question, hot damn!

Oh, right. They're saving their precious typing power for haircuts or Hillary sobbing like a toddler (they wish!) or Obama's middle name (or maybe his ears). Yup, they know substance when they see it. Maureen Dowd, now there's substance. Something's gotta make her voice that squeaky.

Or Chris Matthews, there's a guy who's insightful. In sight, full ... of Grey Goose, anyway.

Hey, if all the Heathers want to do is act like they're still trying to crash the cool clique in high school, I can give some sass back to 'em.

Seriously, I come not to praise the media but to bury them.

Edwards has many serious proposals that actually would help the American middle class. That's most of us, isn't it? Or do we just want to go ahead brown-nosing the rich, since after all their shit don't stink?

Here are Edwards's four main goals for the middle class:

  1. Good jobs
  2. Secure retirement
  3. Relieve pressure points (he calls it "Remove the burdens")
  4. Universal health care
About as apple pie as it comes. A Republican could pay lip service to the first three and would even bloviate some market-love about privatized universal health care. (The lapdog media would of course be too impressed with the GOPer's power tie to note the utter hysterical bullshit of that claim.) As usual, it's the details that matter, that separate hype from reality.

To encourage creation of good jobs (all pols like to say create instead of facilitate, but I don't have to join them), Edwards wants to put tax money into capital and training for renewable energy. Edwards also wants to fund innovative research.

Is this a good idea? The free market has had thirty years to solve our oil addiction, and GM and Ford are still pushing suburban assault vehicles that could house a family of four in many places in the world. And of course, any Republican who doesn't want to be drummed out of the club has to defend that market outcome. "I may not drive what you drive, but I'll defend to the death your right to drive whatever 7000-lb. vehicle you want." Not exactly Voltaire.

Government research grants have historically led to many innovations - and by no means just Tang. The Dupont family likes to forget how much of their bread and butter was actually funded by the government. Many innovative materials came out of military contracts and NASA. Don't forget the Internet, though of course that's a mixed blessing, since lots of outsourcing relies on the net. The basic research that led to the computer revolution and to the biotech revolution was essentially all done under government contract and then later refined and productized by industry. Transformative technologies are expensive to get off the ground, and they don't always succeed, but seed money can make the difference between an economy that grows and one that withers into neo-feudalism, where the rich make money with money and the rest of us flip burgers.

On trade, Edwards is not a protectionist, but he's also not a fool for "free" trade. Like Paul Krugman, Edwards knows that free trade agreements such as NAFTA have bad consequences and provoke a race to the bottom. He wants trade agreements that serve all Americans, not just the financial interests that are looking for cheaper labor, not matter the cost to people, their careers, product safety, or the environment. The global economy is here to stay, but there's no reason besides hard-hearted elitism that the middle class should be so badly hurt by it. We have a government to smooth out the bumps.

One of the vilest effects of the U.S. tax code is that it encourages American executives to outsource. They get huge incentive packages for sending our jobs overseas. The only reason we're not in the streets over this one is ... I can't think of one. Is TV too entertaining? Or is much of even the Democratic Party too bought? (The Republicans, of course, want to retain this incentive for their people, the rape and pillage CEOs.)

Edwards also wants to raise the minimum wage. Republicans of course want to eliminate it so that people can live in the penury they by God deserve. Think about this: The current federal minimum wage is $5.85/hour. That multiplies to annual wages of $11,700. Who could possibly live on that? (And these are the people whose wages suffered most importantly under the 1983 deal to prepare Social Security for us boomers, the deal the Republicans now want to stiff us on.)

He wants to reform the tax code to reward work. Man, now that's communist! The Bushists think that we shouldn't tax the big money. What they claim is that the rich make the economy grow for the rest of us, but that stuff that's trickling down on us is not money. Tax rates on the wealthy have been much lower this decade than last - which economy was better for the middle class?

I'd make the Paris Hilton tax my first objective. There's no way these would-be celebrity aristocrats should get their massive and undeserved inheritances without a big bite. Maybe they'll have to get real jobs; wouldn't that be tragic. But Edwards doesn't mention that, emphasizing rough income tax and capital gains parity.

Edwards would help aides in nursing and teaching move up the career ladder. I find this proposal curious and unexpected, but he says that health care and education are both growing rapidly. Upward mobility is a key part of the American dream.

JE would also go back to an enforcement environment that would prevent the emasculation of unions that is so popular with CEOs who want to write contracts for themselves that legally loot companies, all the while complaining about how greedy unions are. I once worked for a company that was acquired. The outgoing CEO left with almost $300 million, good payment for running the stock into the basement. If he had given up just 10% of that, he could have doubled the severance packages of all of the 2500 people who lost their jobs.

And the Wall Street Journal quails at the thought of class warfare. Oh my, my angina's acting up, I'm feeling faint, fetch me a brandy, boy. Buddy, the class war has been going on for three decades, just with one side sitting on its hands. That's why the CEO society that Duhbya touted and that Mitt Romney still represents is a fraud on the American middle class. Look at how Duhbya bought it with his $100 mess of pottage.

Only John Edwards would even try to change that.

Hell, that's only item one. A real journalist could get articles out of this for a whole month without ever having to write "margin of error" or "electability" or "fundraising event". I'm not holding my breath.

Ministry of propaganda

ABC updates its Strait of Hormuz story. The Navy edited its video in a way that clearly suggested the "aggressive transmission" had come from the Iranian boats, even if the sound quality was suspicious. But now a spokesman says that oh sure it could have come from anywhere, sorry you all got the wrong impression. But "we still put it in the total aggregate of what happened Sunday morning," whatever weaselly bullshit that means.

The Pentagon is going to need a lot of retirements when a Democrat wins the Presidency. Anyone who engaged in this sort of political propaganda - gone.

That and five bucks...

... will get you a coffee at Starbucks.

That's not peace that's at hand.

Wednesday, January 9, 2008

Counting the silverware

This judge tells the White House, "I don't trust you or your stinkin' lawyers."

Why would he?

Teens on speed

I tell my daughter: Don't drive the way I did when I was your age.

Massachusetts now has draconian laws to punish teenage drivers for accidents and moving violations. Matt Carroll gives the facts that show why:

Of the state's 4.7 million licensed drivers, about 62,000 are junior operators. Although they were a fraction of the drivers on the road, they were involved in 7 percent of fatal accidents last year and 10 percent the year before.
1.3% of drivers, previously in 10% of fatal accidents. This could be a little misleading; since the Registry counts involvement, not fault, the approximate floor for teens at fault is 5% and almost certainly higher. In any case, junior operators are still very disproportionately involved in wrecks.
In past years, one-third of 16-year-old drivers and about one-fifth of 17-year-olds have been in serious accidents, according to Registry data.
There's no definition of serious, but I would guess it means any accident that involved enough damage that a report was filed. Thirty years ago, I was in both that 1/3 and that 1/5.

This is the kind of reporting I want and need.

Mature ejaculations

The punditocracy so wants the Presidential race over with. That way, they can continue to flog their myth that Iowa and New Hampshire are the one true path to the White House. And they can go back to their Beltway cocktail parties and Broderist appeals for faux bipartisanship and the sort of centrism that makes them the center of attention.

Scot Lehigh is often a guy whose writing irritates me, but not today. Today, he counsels:

Let's take a deep breath - and let other states have their turn.
Amen.



Note on my title: Talked with my friend Tom tonight, and he told me how much traffic he got by tagging a couple of posts with 'sex'. He has principles, not to mention a reputation to protect, and so untagged his posts, but I'll do anything for a little attention. We'll see how much comment spam I have to delete to keep from feeling as anatomically inadequate as I do every time I open my inbox.

Question for the day

Eric Alterman asks:

Did anyone at all call the Democratic contest correctly? Do actual real people really care about silly pundit predictions? How can an entire industry continue to exist when the product it provides is both unwanted and defective, and proven repeatedly to be so?
Can you even imagine Hillary Clinton ever getting to have a Sally Field moment?

Tuesday, January 8, 2008

Middle class

OK, my man John Edwards finished third in New Hampshire. Worse, no delegates - Clinton and Obama split those, at least so far.

We all know that Edwards talks about the middle class and that the other Democrats have picked up the mantra. But what does Edwards actually say in the stump speech he delivers every day? What are his priorities? What would he try to do?

I've looked around a bit, and I don't find that reported anywhere. There's a tidbit here and there, but if you want the meat instead of a thin broth warmed over by journalists, you'll have to visit Edwards's web site. Why?

Starting with Edwards's salient facts:

  • Our economy is growing only at the top: ...
  • Families are working longer hours, but finding it harder to get by: ...
  • Higher costs for the basics: ...
  • Powerful corporate interests have taken control of our government: ...
  • Losing hope for the American dream: ...
  • The media might judge Edwards's credibility by reviewing these. Uh, no, takes actual work.

    The first three are unambiguously true. The fourth is largely true but exaggerated into black and white, while the world is grayer. It's completely within the realm of normal political hyperbole. The fifth is interpretation, also somewhat overstated but not deceitfully.

    To support all five, the Edwards campaign actually provides sources. But the elite media aren't interested - too truthful, not truthy enough.

    You'd think that the media, even uninterested in what the campaigns say, would at least post transcripts of the candidates' speeches for political nerds like me. But no, there's a byte shortage, and the news sites can't afford a couple of kilobytes of text while still posting their megabytes of photos on their gigabyte disk farms.

    Update: With 82% reporting, Edwards now has 4 delegates.

    Synchronicity

    The New York Times says that the Dems have got it going on and that they all basically agree on policy matters. There's some truth to that.

    But the main import to American political reporters is to allow them to focus where they want to focus - on atmospherics, personality, and the horse race.

    Gulf of credibility

    Updated.

    The Navy - our Navy - is reporting Iranian harassment in the Persian Gulf. Under ordinary civilian leadership, despite the harsh lesson of the Gulf of Tonkin, I would reflexively credit these reports as true, as I did in the Gulf of Sidra.

    Under the rain of bullshit during the reign of the Bushists, it's much harder. Even events that actually did happen, such as this one, get meaning imputed to them that they just don't deserve. One core lesson of Iraq - that the Cheney shadow government is happy to trump up a cause of war - cannot be ignored.

    Here's what I think:

    • The Iranian "gunboats" were very light Zero-like boats. The boats were small but hard-hulled, probably fiberglass.
    • If the Navy had perceived the objects the Iranians dropped to be a threat, the incident would not have transpired without weapons fire. The U.S. ships would have shot them up. They were nothing.
    • Admiral Roughead is overselling this incident to please the Bushists.
    • The Iranians were playing chicken; there are idiots in Iran who want war, too. They probably had no idea of the personal space a navy needs in a tight strait. They're probably too young to have even heard of the Exocet.
    • Vice Admiral Cosgriff did not specify that the translated content of the "aggressive transmissions" was known to the vessels' captains in real time. How credible is it that three minor vessels would have a Farsi translator on board when the whole U.S. military can't field more than a few dozen Arabic translators? The transmissions were in English. Oddly, in ABC's video, they were easier to hear than the American radio operator.
    The upshot: I'd guess that there was a routine incident report that someone in Washington spun to prominence, something the commanders at sea put out of their minds as soon as it was over.

    My skepticism is the consequence of the Bushists' gulf of credibility. The high military officers who have taken their propaganda orders from the White House will have to be retired by the next Democratic President, if only to restore the honor of their services.

    Monday, January 7, 2008

    Assumption of insincerity

    So, if John Edwards were really insincere about poverty and corporate power, is this what it would look like? For a Republican to get this treatment, he has to do visible 180s about anything inconvenient (Romney); for a Democrat, it's standard treatment. And it's not as if either of these signature issues is actually convenient, at least not to the conventional narrative of the media.

    No good deed goes unpunished

    I'm not a reflexive defender of my alma mater, but this story is filled with ridiculous whining about the best thing Harvard has done in some time.

    I have occasionally defended to Europeans America's admittedly weird system of educational finance. We have progressive pricing - the rich pay full price, while the poor pay much less and the middle class get some breaks. What Harvard did in extending its plentiful resources much higher into the middle class makes this even more true than it used to be. It's a good thing, the next logical step from need-blind admissions, which Harvard also has allocated its resources to do.

    Harvard's policy has the effect of making it more meritocratic in an America that increasingly is an aristocracy of wealth, and where wealth is again more and more stratified and static. That effect is good, even if it may keep a small number of brilliant middle class students from choosing George Mason University or Dickinson College. The weird thing is that their administrators are arguing that because Harvard is lowering its tuition (effectively), they'll have to raise theirs! Huh?

    I also know that Harvard is a big, amoral, calculating institution. Its new program will increase its yield of matriculating students. That means it will offer admission to a lower proportion of applicants, as well, and both these numbers will improve Harvard's position in the US News rankings. There is no doubt that Harvard administrators are aware of this logic.

    The stupid thing is that other colleges' administrators are puling about Harvard, instead of rightly complaining about the really infantile US News ranking system and its popularity in the unanalytical mainstream media.

    Secret heresy

    I had great hope that this long piece would educate me about the doctrines of Mormonism, but ... not so much. Feldman keeps sneaking up on its heterodoxies and then anticlimactically not describing them.

    Of course, the well-known history of Mormon polygamy is there, as well as the claim that God himself was once a man (though Feldman's assertion that Jesus living as a man is also heretical is odd). After that, not much. What about planetary heavens for Saints who achieve divinity? What about the central enforcement of Mormon orthodoxy? What about the trinity? (Let Robin Givhan worry about saintly vestments.)

    All these are mentioned or alluded to but none are detailed. Instead, Feldman begs off weakly:

    Faced with the allegation that they do not believe in the same God as ordinary Protestants, or that their beliefs are not truly Christian, Mormons find themselves in an extraordinarily awkward position. They cannot defend themselves by expressly explaining their own theology, because, taken from the standpoint of orthodox Protestantism in America today, it is in fact heterodox.
    The heresy is still secret.

    And if Feldman writes "soft bigotry" one more time, he should have to move his HLS office out onto the sidewalk.

    "Vote Republican: We'll cull the herd"

    Brilliant line from Digby...

    Sunday, January 6, 2008

    Sunday comics blogging

    No, I am the true believer!

    See all of Opus by clicking on the image.

    Moral clarity

    George McGovern may be 85, but he still sees clearly and is willing to say what he thinks. Too bad Washington is not filled with people like him.

    New Hampshire's independence

    If New Hampshire voters are so independent and make their minds up for themselves, why is it that Iowa has so dramatically reordered the "nation's first primary"?

    Just like the rest of us, NH voters listen to the pundits (mistake!) and absorb the news coverage, and a good fraction of them look for a bandwagon to hop onto, whether they would admit it or not.

    Overheard in Chelmsford, MA

    Hillary took so many questions that she outlasted her audience. That's what a guy on a cell phone in Starbucks was saying. He was impressed.

    I had a long conversation with another local. He didn't commit, but I gave him a hint about Edwards as a transformative candidate. No one wants a spiel; I didn't give one.

    Word of mouth does work. It worked for Deval Patrick. Best of all, it's hard to create artificially since it requires too many ordinary people talking.

    Nader for 2008

    Michael Bloomberg means one thing to the 2008 Presidential race - a Republican win with about 40% of the popular vote. This would be a sacrifice on the altar of false bipartisanship and a disaster for the country, not to mention nearly all the things that Bloomberg claims to hold dear.

    Sunday comics blogging

    Not new, but still worth a laugh.

    Click the image to see Ed Stein's whole cartoon.

    Saturday, January 5, 2008

    Flattery vs. challenge

    Now that the candidates for President have ads on the Boston stations targeting southern New Hampshire, I'm seeing the usual mix of advertising themes. My sanity would be better served by turning off the damn TV, but it's winter, and I don't expect to be sane in the darkness.

    John McCain is flattering New Hampshirites - just as one maverick to another - that they don't care what the pundits say. Hey, it could be 2000 again, and he could be only 64.

    Mitt Romney is making the usual bullshit claims - there will be more change in the next ten years than the last centuries (only if Edgar Cayce was right) - as a vehicle for delivering his insincere optimism. Since he has money, he's also doing jujitsu on McCain, saying nice things and then slamming him with the Capitol dome.

    Even Obama is relying on atmospherics, too. His flattery is a common dream - not bad at all.

    Hillary is making an argument that she can deliver change. I respect that. Her claim that she has "35 years experience making change" sounds a little like a long career as a Masspike toll-taker.

    Only Edwards is challenging the electorate to make a significant change. That's why he's my candidate.

    So, Republicans are flattering you and sniping at each other. Democrats are doing better, not of course perfectly.

    Flattery should make alarms go off in your head. It is almost always a signal of insincerity and and offer to trade a compliment for what the flatterer wants from you. People who vote for flatterers get the government they deserve.

    And, all you idiots riding my tail in your 15 mpg full-size pick-ups when I'm already close to the car in front of me, you're included. When Dodge wants you to be ram-tough and Toyota has joined into the automotive penis-fluffing, they are kissing your ass for the sole purpose of lifting your wallet.

    Clinton ... affair - stop the presses!

    If the story has both affair and Clinton in it, you know it has to be national news.

    Next up: Clinton family pet delivers illegitimate litter.

    Posted without comment

    Creating rules for how colossal, muscle-bound men should pretend to tear one another's heads off is, it turns out, a delicate matter.

    Episode of Cops

    I'm looking forward to the domestic dispute filmed by Cops, where both spouses have tased each other.

    On the seventh day

    The MBTA rested its brain. This was an obvious case that should have been solved by good manners but needed law.

    What makes it interesting is that it preserves the rights of a small Christian sect. Next time the wingnuts who want everyone to be their kind of Christian complain about anti-discrimination law, here's an example of the law helping a Christian.

    Of course, they'll think that he's a weird Christian, so this won't convince them. But it might help with conservatives who aren't too far gone.

    Whining and Howelling

    It's a start that Deborah Howell is telling reporters to stop whining about reader feedback. Hell, at least they have readers.

    One agonizing realization that's still missing is that their commenters are more concerned with separating fact from myth than with decorum, while too often journalists reverse that priority. It's almost enough to make me nostalgic for Sam Donaldson. Almost.

    There are several conventional themes that Howell cannot bring herself to discard, even though they don't apply to the liberal critique of journalism:

    • She leads with the tired old dearth of good news.
    • She quotes Paul Farhi conflating anger and ignorance.
    • She sustains the pretense that anger is unjustified.
    The Steve Pearlstein quote, however, is something journalists should take to heart:
    [When I make a mistake,] it is invariably the e-mailers who are the first to point it out. I particularly look forward to the short, biting, irreverent e-mails that are negative or critical. They not only keep me on my toes but remind me to keep those qualities in my own columnizing.
    But skip the word columnizing, please. (Or did he mean calumnizing?)

    Friday, January 4, 2008

    What Iowa means - Republicans

    Even less than it means to the Democrats...

    Huckabee blunted Mitt Romney's early money-buys-name-recognition strategy. Mitt won't be running the table.

    Huckabee, though, is still a big question mark. Ed Rollins only thinks he helped.

    Mitt Romney still has money. I expect to see ads leaking over the border that tag Huckabee as an opportunist.

    The three old fossils are still as viable as they were before. For Fred Thompson, it's probably a disappointment that he did too well to fade out of the race.

    Duncan Hunter is still hopeless. He's probably crying that everyone stole his issue, but that's his face-saver for quitting.

    What Iowa means - Democrats

    Not much.

    There are still three contenders. Obama is of course slightly stronger.

    Edwards is still viable.

    Hillary is still the frontrunner.

    Bill Richardson is still running for VP.

    All the other guys are still, standing still, not really running.

    Thursday, January 3, 2008

    Thursday comics blogging

    Found Beth Cravens by a very circuitous route, and I couldn't wait till Sunday to link to her whimsical blog and its intrinsically funny drawings.

    Novak the concern troll

    Robert Novak is well-known as an insincere propagandist. Here, he pretends to critique Hillary's triangulation as premature. If she weren't running a centrist primary campaign, he'd be concerned about her ability to move to the center for the general election. Fear, uncertainty, and doubt - that's his job.

    Why can Novakula still get paid for this tripe?

    Texas justice

    Sometimes criminal prosecution is wielded as a blunt instrument. Charles Chatman spent 26 years in jail for a rape that DNA now says he did not commit. He'll never get those years back, but at least he is still alive to be released.

    The DA whose office obtained Chatman's conviction was Henry Wade, famed tough prosecutor (and the Wade in Roe v. Wade). Wade asked for the death penalty 30 times and got it 29. Would modern evidentiary tools exonerate any of those dead men?

    The current Dallas courts and prosecutors at least seem to be taking justice seriously.

    Wednesday, January 2, 2008

    MRI study needed

    Conservative blatherers are obviously missing some part of their brains related to consistency, and modern technology can tell us where the anti-hyprocrisy center is or ought to be.

    If Bill Clinton allowed sale of this much technology to China, the wingnuts would be calling for him to be drawn and quartered for high treason, while flecking so much spittle all over studios nationwide that hospitals would be stockpiling rabies vaccine.

    Paulist monks

    What is it about crazy libertarians that enamors the nerd-boys? If Ron Paul can get votes, that means they can get girls.

    D.B. Cooper

    Could the unwitting anti-establishment anti-hero have been the founder of MIB? Is that why the FBI is looking for him again? Is Identikit responsible for the fact that D.B.'s eyes have exactly the same expression as the alien from Area 51?

    Seriously, the FBI is not hoping someone will solve this for them. They are just shaking the trees for new information. Don't believe me? Take a look at what they've "released". It's practically nothing but press accounts, some of which are accompanied by indictments against con men who defrauded a reporter into paying $30,000 for a made-up story.

    Here's what you won't find:

    • Any usable map, though this blurry, unoriented, useless POS is posted, and you can tell where Portland is
    • Records of search areas
    • Timelines with uncertainties
    • Records of the search of the plane - did he really parachute?
    • Precise locations of anything
    • Rationales for dismissing certain theories - For example, the FBI says that Cooper could not have been an experienced because he jumped into the 200 mph wind from the 727's air speed, yet a paratrooper whom they exonerated for a similar hijacking also jumped successfully at a similar speed.
    Obviously, I didn't have enough to do today - or at least I wasn't doing it.

    Cooper's probably dead. A crime like this could easily be the work of a loner down on his luck, whom no one would report missing. But the FBI is still trying to solve it itself without letting all us nut case amateurs in on the case.

    Tom Lantos

    No man is perfect, especially not any Congressman, but let us always work to keep these words of Tom Lantos true:

    "It is only in the United States that a penniless survivor of the Holocaust and a fighter in the anti-Nazi underground could have received an education, raised a family and had the privilege of serving the last three decades of his life as a member of Congress," Lantos said. "I will never be able to express fully my profoundly felt gratitude to this great country."
    Except for the "only" part - I have no desire to keep that.

    Bipartisanshit

    A friend writes:

    Seems like your kind of book...

    THE SECOND CIVIL WAR: HOW EXTREME PARTISANSHIP HAS PARALYZED WASHINGTON AND POLARIZED AMERICA by Ronald Brownstein. A veteran political reporter provides a shrewd election-year assessment of the growing partisanship in American politics, looking at the roots of this polarization and its alarming consequences for the country at large.



    My intemperate reply, slightly edited but not to make it more temperate:

    God, if only Washington had been paralyzed by partisanship during the past 7 years! Partisanship should have saved us from the authoritarian tendencies of the Bushists, but alas the Democrats were weak.

    The review reads as though Brownstein is paying obeisance to the faux bipartisanship so popular among the Broderist pundits of the Beltway, the stuff that gives us Lieberman endorsing McCain. It amounts to Democrats meeting Republicans 90% of the way to the right, no matter how extreme the Republicans become. Of course, that’s what Congressional Dems have done on almost everything but Social Security.

    I’d argue with several points of conventional bullshit:
    • The country is not evenly divided any more. We’ve concluded that the Bushists are bad for America.
    • Social Security’s baby-boom-related shortfall was addressed in a bipartisan compromise (when that phrase actually retained its literal sense) in 1983. There’s only a problem if the Treasury reneges on its debts to the program.
    • Lock-step party discipline is primarily a creature of the GOP. There is still significant dissent within the Democratic caucus, which is one source of weakness when confronting the ideologically homogeneous Republican caucus.
    • We’re more partisan now than we had been, but not more than in times past – and not just the run-up to the Civil War.
    What we need now is not to paper over our differences with bland centrism. We need to lurch back to the historic center from the path we’re on, which is the path to fascism. You may think I’m extreme, but where are we headed, if not toward militaristic, xenophobic government driven by corporate interests? Really, the Republican ideology contains all the elements of fascism except anti-Semitism, which played the pseudo-populist role in the 1930s that abortion and gay rights play now. Oh, and domestic violence from the far right has only been minor to this point.

    Instead of a center defined by Joe Lieberman, I want a clear polarization because that’s what’s needed to marginalize the Bushists. I think a passel of ‘em ought to do time for Iraq, FISA, and torture, though I don’t really expect that. Duhbya and Darth deserve impeachment. Rummy, Gonzo, Rice, Tenet, Goss, Yoo, Addington, and Scooter (again) should be prosecuted. Oh, and don’t forget Rove. I’m sure there are many more.

    For now, we have a far right party and a centrist party (with liberal rank and file); I’d like to see us get back to center-right and center-left before we rely again on bipartisanship as a good thing. Right now, compromise without accountability and transparency is a pig in a poke or worse.

    Tuesday, January 1, 2008

    The year of Huckabee

    Will 2008 by Mike Huckabee's year, or is he about to jump the shark? As long as he doesn't last past November 4, I don't really care.

    The fact that Huckabee is even in the race testifies to the weakness of the field and the dissatisfaction that even the core constituencies of the Republican feel toward them. Romney would be perfect if he hadn't insincerely moved left for Massachusetts. Giuliani would be perfect if he hadn't been seen so often in a dress - being an asshole is no hindrance. Thompson would be perfect if he could stay awake.

    So, Huckabee has an opening, and only the usual owners of the GOP object.

    Huckabee is a crazy man, however. He's a wild Christian and evolution-denier. He touts a middle-class-killing federal sales tax of 30% or more, letting the really rich off the hook entirely. He thinks Iraq is an "ideological war on terror".